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Creators/Authors contains: "Jeong, Jee-Hoon"

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  1. Abstract In recent decades, the interior regions of Eurasia and North America have experienced several unprecedentedly cold winters despite the global surface air temperature increases. One possible explanation of these increasing extreme cold winters comes from the so-called Warm Arctic Cold Continent (WACC) pattern, reflecting the effects of the amplified Arctic warming in driving the circulation change over surrounding continents. This study analyzed reanalysis data and model experiments forced by different levels of anthropogenic forcing. It is found that WACC exists on synoptic scales in observations, model’s historical and even future runs. In the future, the analysis suggests a continued presence of WACC but with a slightly weakened cold extreme due to the overall warming. Warm Arctic events under the warmer climate will be associated with not only a colder continent in East Asia but also a warmer continent, depending on the teleconnection process that is also complicated by the warmer Arctic. Such an increasingly association suggests a reduction in potential predictability of the midlatitude winter anomalies. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available December 1, 2024
  2. Abstract Historical wildfire events in California have shown a tendency to occur every five to seven years with a rapidly increasing tendency in recent decades. This oscillation is evident in multiple historical climate records, some more than a century long, and appears to be continuing. Analysis shows that this 5–7 year oscillation is linked to a sequence of anomalous large-scale climate patterns with an eastward propagation in both the ocean and atmosphere. While warmer temperature emerges from the northern central Pacific to the west coast of California, La Niña pattern develops simultaneously, implying that the lifecycle of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation that takes multiple years to form could be a trigger. The evolving patterns of the Pacific-to-North America atmospheric teleconnection suggest the role of tropical and subtropical forcing embedded in this lifecycle. These results highlight the semi-cyclical hydrological behavior as a climate driver for wildfire variability in California. 
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  3. null (Ed.)
    Unprecedented heatwave-drought concurrences in the past two decades have been reported over inner East Asia. Tree-ring–based reconstructions of heatwaves and soil moisture for the past 260 years reveal an abrupt shift to hotter and drier climate over this region. Enhanced land-atmosphere coupling, associated with persistent soil moisture deficit, appears to intensify surface warming and anticyclonic circulation anomalies, fueling heatwaves that exacerbate soil drying. Our analysis demonstrates that the magnitude of the warm and dry anomalies compounding in the recent two decades is unprecedented over the quarter of a millennium, and this trend clearly exceeds the natural variability range. The “hockey stick”–like change warns that the warming and drying concurrence is potentially irreversible beyond a tipping point in the East Asian climate system. 
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  4. Abstract

    This study examined the contribution of the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) to the record-breaking 2013–17 drought in the Korean Peninsula. The meteorological drought signal, measured by the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), in 2013 and 2016 co-occurred with a heat wave. The positive phase of the PDO during the mid-2010s was responsible for the precipitation deficit, particularly in 2014, 2015, and 2017, resulting in 5 years of meteorological drought. The enhanced atmospheric heating anomalies over the subtropical central Pacific, induced by the in situ PDO-related sea surface temperature (SST) warming, led to a low-atmospheric cyclonic flow centered over the midlatitude Pacific. The northerly wind anomalies at the western edge of this low-level cyclonic flow were responsible for the horizontal negative advection of moist energy, which contributed to the decreased precipitation and the resultant negative SPI over the Korean Peninsula in 2014, 2015, and 2017. The large-ensemble simulation supported the observational findings that the composited SST anomalies during the 5 years of persistent drought exhibited prominent and persistent SST warming over the subtropical central Pacific, along with large-scale cyclonic flow over the North Pacific. The findings of this study imply that the SST anomalies over the North Pacific and subtropical central Pacific can be a predictable source to potentially increase the ability to forecast multiyear droughts over the Korean Peninsula.

     
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